Solar Supercycle
Interactive Wright's Law Model
The Solar Learning Curve
Every doubling of cumulative solar deployment drives costs down by the learning rate. This is Wright's Law — the same force that made computing ubiquitous.
Capacity & Cost Over Time
Cumulative solar capacity (blue, left axis) and effective LCOE (amber, right axis) as functions of time. Both respond to your parameter choices.
Markets Unlocked by Falling Costs
As solar LCOE crosses key thresholds, entirely new trillion-dollar markets become viable. Drag the learning rate to see markets open and close.
The Super Flywheel
Cost reduction creates demand. Demand drives deployment. Deployment drives learning. Learning drives cost reduction. The same self-reinforcing cycle that powered the computing revolution.
Sensitivity & Scenarios
Which assumptions matter most? Save your configuration and compare different futures side by side.